Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.387912 0.420819 0.456388 0.497895 0.545262 0.597945 0.661411
2025-01-19 0.316647 0.362181 0.415558 0.483713 0.569880 0.677289 0.824845
2025-01-26 0.281967 0.336020 0.403604 0.496659 0.625513 0.804521 1.086172
2025-02-02 0.263299 0.324735 0.405907 0.525468 0.705853 0.985321 1.495624
2025-02-09 0.241198 0.304920 0.392582 0.528490 0.748011 1.120886 1.901606
2025-02-16 0.219866 0.283043 0.372607 0.517013 0.763220 1.214741 2.284048
2025-02-23 0.205045 0.268405 0.360774 0.515361 0.793299 1.344768 2.841948
2025-03-02 0.190587 0.252712 0.345275 0.504845 0.804471 1.440264 3.397880
2025-03-09 0.178134 0.238807 0.330911 0.493857 0.811935 1.530317 4.038881
2025-03-16 0.167577 0.226859 0.318373 0.484131 0.819594 1.624137 4.825677
2025-03-23 0.162479 0.222805 0.318023 0.496059 0.874816 1.865398 6.718901
2025-03-30 0.154505 0.213635 0.308322 0.489114 0.886936 1.992936 8.375252
2025-04-06 0.144374 0.200759 0.291951 0.468619 0.866723 2.023764 9.624187
2025-04-13 0.135037 0.188748 0.276406 0.448521 0.845095 2.047850 11.083482
2025-04-20 0.131133 0.185286 0.275371 0.457394 0.897635 2.368229 18.043309
2025-04-27 0.129767 0.185851 0.281425 0.481775 0.998548 2.978403 43.872345
2025-05-04 0.125406 0.181095 0.277412 0.484033 1.039608 3.379538 97.380135
2025-05-11 0.119800 0.173888 0.268304 0.473810 1.041347 3.588823 198.001718
2025-05-18 0.115733 0.169083 0.263316 0.472306 1.070074 3.998204 1043.942674
2025-05-25 0.111053 0.162963 0.255394 0.463043 1.071726 4.249733 59759.999649
2025-06-01 0.106665 0.157137 0.247654 0.453364 1.069947 4.488430 NaN
2025-06-08 0.102707 0.151882 0.240685 0.444791 1.070209 4.757900 NaN
2025-06-15 0.101097 0.150678 0.241515 0.455300 1.142057 5.798490 NaN